When we look at two governments – the Czech government of Petr Fiala and the Hungarian government of Viktor Orban – we can actually see two possible paths for the existence and evolution of the centre-right in our region. In a sense, this is also a question about the future of the Polish centre-right, so it is worth looking at these two models.
For years, Viktor Orban has been not only the Law and Justice government’s most important ally in European politics, but more broadly the ruling camp’s main source of inspiration and aspiration. Recent months, however, have brought, if not a break-up, then certainly an increasingly deep crisis in this alliance. The reason, of course, is the attitude of the Hungarians, Fidesz and Orban himself to the war in Ukraine. Unlike Poland and the other countries in our region – the Hungarians are far from being unequivocally committed to the side of Ukraine. They maintain today’s above-standard good relations with Russia and weaken European solidarity.
Does this mean that Poland has lost a key ally in the region? One could perhaps risk the statement that it has not entirely. Increasingly, the Czechs are taking the place of Poland’s key ally in Central Europe. This is symbolised not only by the suloving the Turów dispute, the participation of Prime Minister Petr Fiala in the unprecedented 'Kyiv expedition’ of Mateusz Morawiecki and Jarosław Kaczyński and increasingly intense bilateral relations.
But this swap is interesting from yet another point of view. When we look at the two governments – the Czech government of Petr Fiala and the Hungarian government of Viktor Orban – we can actually see two possible paths of existence and evolution of the centre-right in our region. In a sense, it is also a question about the future of the Polish centre-right.
It seems that this centre-right, Christian Democrat path of the Czechs is some kind of memory from a different time, a politics from before PO-PiS failed in 2005, and certainly from before the Smolensk catastrophe. ‘Trumpian path’ of Orban, on the other hand, is the natural direction in which other right-wing parties around the world are going.
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